Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 106.516658 122.598871 141.579177 165.992591 197.108772 236.237891 290.525231
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 83.012707 101.876523 126.486201 162.131981 214.685694 293.565675 430.982712
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 71.062946 90.766353 118.177344 161.225996 231.841400 354.033580 616.150591
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 63.487528 83.582166 112.961823 162.218286 250.734658 425.426554 891.241170
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 56.426204 75.827638 105.182595 156.744017 255.925247 473.299048 1177.950101
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 53.447076 73.575912 105.298712 164.294958 288.114755 601.542885 1986.682524
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 48.782769 68.097232 99.271844 159.274829 292.269875 663.025392 2752.493992
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 45.864056 65.018350 96.770640 160.331587 310.592371 783.427385 4611.600945
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.864250 61.478821 92.971349 157.968861 319.805972 884.792605 7596.208848
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 42.164809 61.641656 95.722285 169.800030 371.916078 1233.162146 31823.911720
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.355128 63.303917 101.440084 189.712360 460.662938 2010.761767 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 40.199158 60.640957 98.483926 188.507507 480.105174 2423.491071 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.870305 57.705553 95.105720 186.824500 502.846974 3057.836487 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.469653 54.477026 90.840892 182.228345 513.688941 3715.686443 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.646582 52.143647 88.123972 181.153172 539.957122 4944.091788 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.198002 50.375571 86.365861 182.330545 578.936521 7241.321411 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.318092 47.645650 82.239489 175.842579 576.011339 8592.713150 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.711954 47.292163 83.243485 184.796478 666.195462 19572.538307 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 28.160524 44.990805 79.653586 178.839785 664.414019 25686.705588 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 27.198003 43.775778 78.403102 180.092435 712.169744 57291.273933 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 26.068416 42.154453 76.056849 177.292660 730.903700 118274.822020 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.966260 42.570301 78.504118 191.345855 901.306738 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 26.265286 43.821278 83.137377 215.182596 1236.262363 NaN NaN